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Predicting the Next President de Allan J. Lichtman

Predicting the Next President

Autor Allan J. Lichtman
en Limba Engleză Paperback – 13 mai 2016
Do you think that Mitt Romney's "47%" comment caused him to lose the 2012 presidential election? Or that Richard Nixon lost the 1960 presidential election because he sweated on TV? Maybe John Kerry was "swiftboated" out of the presidency in 2004? Think again In Predicting the Next President, political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections. In the chronological, successful application of these keys to every election since 1860, Lichtman dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9781442269200
ISBN-10: 1442269200
Pagini: 226
Dimensiuni: 150 x 229 x 15 mm
Greutate: 0.32 kg
Ediția:2016
Editura: Rowman & Littlefield

Descriere

In Predicting the Next President political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections.

Cuprins

Chapter 1: Logic of the Keys: How Presidential Elections Really Work
Chapter 2: Turning the Keys to the Presidency
Chapter 3: Civil War and Reconstruction
Chapter 4: The Gilded Age
Chapter 5: Rise and Fall of Progressivism
Chapter 6: Depression, War, and Cold War
Chapter 7: New Directions, War, and Scandal
Chapter 8: The Reagan and Beyond
Chapter 9: A False Dawn for Democrats: 1996-2004
Chapter 10: The Winds of Political Change: 2008
Chapter 11: Stability in the White House 2012
Chapter 12: The Obama Legacy Repudiated: Where the Keys Stand for 2020
Chapter 13: Lessons of the Keys: Toward a New Presidential Politics

Recenzii

Thisintriguing study offers a radical system for determining in advance the winners of American presidential elections, a system integrating historical analysis and mathematical pattern-recognition methods.
Ofthe hundreds of books written about presidential elections, one of the best is Allan J. Lichtman's The Keys to the White House.
Animportant reminder to all of us, professional political analysts and interested citizens and observers alike, that fundamentals matter. Presidential elections are not personality contests or astrological events. Rational forces drive presidential election outcomes and nobody does a better job of making that case than Lichtman does.