Forecasting for the Pharmaceutical Industry: Models for New Product and In-Market Forecasting and How to Use Them
Autor Arthur G. Cooken Limba Engleză Paperback – 31 mar 2021
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Specificații
ISBN-13: 9780367787158
ISBN-10: 0367787156
Pagini: 160
Dimensiuni: 174 x 246 x 10 mm
Greutate: 0.26 kg
Ediția:1
Editura: Taylor & Francis
Colecția Routledge
Locul publicării:Oxford, United Kingdom
ISBN-10: 0367787156
Pagini: 160
Dimensiuni: 174 x 246 x 10 mm
Greutate: 0.26 kg
Ediția:1
Editura: Taylor & Francis
Colecția Routledge
Locul publicării:Oxford, United Kingdom
Cuprins
Contents: Introduction. The Past and the Present: The inaccuracy of forecasting; Forecasting in the pharmaceutical industry; The present state: influences across functions; The time horizon for the forecast; In summary. The Forecasting Process: Define the forecast; Select a forecast method; Enable analytic insights; Present the results; Final considerations. New Product Forecasting: Tools and methods; New product forecast algorithm; Modeling the market; Forecasting the product; Converting patient to revenue; Final considerations. In-Market Forecasting: In-market product forecast algorithm; Trending historical data; Applying the effects of ex-trend events; Converting trended data into forecast outputs; Final considerations. Thoughts for the Future: Era of revitalization; Create stories, not spreadsheets; Hire a science fiction writer; Holistic forecasting. References. Appendices: Spreadsheets paper over real problems; Forecast techniques; Case study; Case study suggested solutions. Index.
Descriere
In virtually every decision, a pharmaceutical executive considers some type of forecast
Notă biografică
Arthur G. Cook is a Principal with ZS, a management consulting firm specializing in the pharmaceutical industry. Previously he was Director of Global Forecasting for Syntex Pharmaceuticals. Art has been involved in pharmaceutical forecasting for over 30 years, has worked with many major pharmaceutical companies on their forecasting processes, and has created forecasts for over 150 therapy areas. He has written and presented widely on the subject of forecasting, portfolio management, market research, and pricing for the pharmaceutical industry.