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The Great Global Transformation de Branko Milanovic

The Great Global Transformation

Autor Branko Milanovic
en Limba Engleză Hardback – 6 noi 2025

Prin apariția volumului The Great Global Transformation, Branko Milanovic marchează o nouă etapă în analiza sa asupra economiei politice mondiale, introducând conceptul de „liberalism național de piață”. Putem afirma că lucrarea reprezintă o evoluție firească a cercetărilor sale anterioare din Global Inequality, unde autorul explora dinamica inegalității la scară largă. În acest nou titlu, atenția se mută pe modul în care Marile Puteri — SUA și China — reacționează la schimbările seismice ale veniturilor globale, ambele retrăgându-se către protecționism, deși din motive și cu rezultate sociale radical diferite. Remarcăm o structură riguroasă a argumentației, organizată în cinci capitole esențiale care pornesc de la ascensiunea Asiei și ajung la dilemele naționalismului și proprietății. Un punct de interes major este capitolul dedicat elitelor, unde Milanovic definește noua clasă conducătoare americană ca fiind formată din „homoploutia cu acreditări” (bogăție bazată atât pe capital, cât și pe educație înaltă), în contrast cu elita chineză, definită prin simbioza dintre proprietatea capitalului și apartenența la Partidul Comunist Chinez. Cartea acoperă aceeași arie tematică precum China and the Future of Globalization de Professor Grzegorz W. Kolodko, dar cu o abordare mai centrată pe datele de venit și pe transformarea structurii de clasă, oferind o perspectivă sociologică mai profundă asupra populismului contemporan. Spre deosebire de Visions of Inequality, care era o lucrare de istorie a gândirii economice, The Great Global Transformation este un diagnostic al prezentului. Autorul analizează dacă convergența economică duce inevitabil la conflict și cum noul sistem multipolar reconfigurează ordinea mondială după decenii de politici neoliberale. Este un text dens, bazat pe cercetări originale, care evită generalizările în favoarea unei analize precise a mecanismelor care conduc la nemulțumirea populistă globală.

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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9780241678930
ISBN-10: 0241678935
Pagini: 288
Dimensiuni: 165 x 240 x 30 mm
Greutate: 0.48 kg
Editura: Penguin Books
Colecția Allen Lane

De ce să citești această carte

Această lucrare este esențială pentru cei care doresc să înțeleagă mecanismele din spatele tensiunilor dintre SUA și China. Cititorul va câștiga o perspectivă clară asupra modului în care inegalitatea internă dictează politica externă a marilor puteri. Branko Milanovic oferă argumente solide pentru a înțelege de ce globalizarea, așa cum o cunoșteam, se transformă într-un sistem de blocuri naționale concurente.

Despre autor

Branko Milanovic este un economist de renume mondial, cercetător principal la Luxembourg Income Study Center și profesor vizitator la City University of New York. Recunoscut drept unul dintre cei mai importanți analiști ai inegalității globale, și-a petrecut mare parte din carieră la Banca Mondială, unde a dezvoltat metodologii inovatoare pentru măsurarea distribuției veniturilor la nivel transnațional. Opera sa, care include titluri de referință precum Global Inequality, se distinge prin utilizarea unor seturi vaste de date istorice pentru a explica fenomenele economice contemporane.

Descriere scurtă

From the essential chronicler of the world economy, a portrait of the Great Powers in transition.

The world’s two great economic powers are on opposite trajectories. In the United States, decades of neoliberal policies produced a small class of rich elites and gutted the middle class. In China, the same global forces have created a massive new upper class. The result is the greatest reshuffling of global incomes since the Industrial Revolution—a dramatic shakeup of each country’s political order. As the two powers retreat from one another, the implications for their futures, and for the world economy, are uncertain.

In The Great Global Transformation, acclaimed economist Branko Milanovic draws on original research to chart how these seismic shifts will shape the next century of the global economy. As both the US and China retreat into protectionism, Milanovic shows how a new and multipolar world order will follow—and how rising nationalism will have dramatically different effects on the two countries. And he shows us the fight ahead: as plutocracy returns, global war threatens, and a new system silently shapes our nations, driving populist discontent to the breaking point.

A worthy successor to Capitalism, Alone and his other landmark works, Milanovic’s new book announces the arrival of a new era he terms “national market liberalism,” in which liberalism survives in domestic economies, but not necessarily in the social arena. The Great Global Transformation is Milanovic’s indispensable account of the new twenty-first century now underway.
 

Notă biografică

Branko Milanovic is research professor and a senior scholar at the Stone Center on Socio-Economic Inequality, City University of New York, as well as visiting professor at the International Inequalities Institute at the London School of Economics and Political Science. He is the author of numerous books, including Visions of Inequality; Capitalism, Alone; and Global Inequality. 

Cuprins

Preface
 
Introduction
1. The Rise of Asia
    Countries
    People
 
2. Convergence and Conflict
    Does international trade lead to peace or war?
    Why are we afraid of convergence?
    Complexity of the world
 
3. The Elites
    America’s new ruling class: homoploutia with credentials
    China’s new ruling class: capital ownership with CPC membership
 
4. National Market Liberalism
    National market liberalism
    Statism
    Multipolarity: in an uncertain struggle
 
5. Nationalism, Greed and Property
 
Bibliography
Acknowledgements
Notes
Index

Recenzii

“Milanovic declares that 'Nationalism, greed and property define the era of neoliberalism and will continue to define the period of what I have called here ”national market liberalism," probably even more so because all three, but especially the nationalistic factor, are globally becoming stronger.' The creation of new forms of property also creates new forms of market power. The need to create more property, in turn, is driven by human greed. Greed in turn fuels nationalism whose aim is to ensure that national wealth is protected and increased. Milanovic, in short, sees the world through a Marxist lens. That makes his thinking both intriguing and original."

“Around the world, politicians from Donald Trump to Xi Jinping are attempting to respond to a deep hostility in their respective countries toward those who have benefited most from globalization. Milanović’s provocative book offers one of the best explanations for why this revolt lies behind the rise of illiberalism and the return of nationalism.”

“For Milanovic, greed is the iron cage of our times, and our future is bleak.  . . . His body of research, as a whole, has firmly established the importance of tackling inequality from a critical, world historical perspective. The Great Global Transformation provides a useful and accessible summary of his work.”

“In his fine new book The Great Global Transformation, the former World Bank economist Branko Milanovic describes how our political and economic order is now coming to an end. China and the global south now account for more of the world economy than the US, Japan, Europe, and the many others put together that he terms the “capitalist core”; at the same time, capitalism is being redefined. The elites who prospered under the regimes shaped by Reagan and Thatcher are now redefining their nations into narrower, meaner, harsher societies, ditching the old commitments to multiculturalism and equality for women. They are forcing upon the rest of us capitalism without secure contracts, unions, or even the HR department.”

“Milanovic draws parallels in political trends across multiple countries and points out that what seems like flip-flopping or policy reversals by Xi and others may be 'course corrections' towards a long-term goal. He notes that U.S. nostalgia for post-war dominance is an exception, not the norm. Merchants who sell or source internationally may find Milanovic’s insights fresh and useful as they navigate growth.”

“Milanovic postulates an implicit premise: democratic systems cannot survive being stretched across larger swathes of the global income distribution without experiencing severe political stress. . . . his findings are incredibly striking and powerful. To my mind the facts he marshals must now stand as the basic parameters of any political and historical attempt to explain the ‘backlash’ against neoliberalism and the global economic system that defined the period between 1979 and 2016.”

“I don’t know by what miracle he managed to make it pose for so long, given the spasms and crises that are shaking it, but Branko Milanović’s portrait of our world is very well done. . . . often remarkable. It is striking, in particular, how closely Washington’s latest moves. . . mirror its analysis of the political phenomenon represented by Donald Trump.”

“Milanović is an extraordinary thinker who frequently writes some of the most compelling accounts of globalization’s fallout that exists, mapping with devastating precision who won and who lost from the great opening of the world economy. Milanović is known, also importantly, for understanding the political convulsions that followed as a consequence: Brexit, Trump, the collapse of centrist parties across Europe. His latest book, The Great Global Transformation, extends this analysis into what comes next. . . . The book is, in many ways, his attempt to name the era we’ve already entered but haven’t yet been able to start speaking coherently about. And it’s excellent at that.”

“An excellent guide to the new global order.”

"Everyone today—from thinkers, to policy-makers, to citizens and workers—knows that something is happening to the global order, but no one has been able to understand what it is. Now, Branko Milanovic’s profound book explains this great global transformation. Simultaneously panoramic and telescopic, Milanovic’s explanation ranges across history, philosophy, economics, and politics to illuminate the fortunes of entire nations and of the individual people in them. There is no better account of how we have got to where we are, and no clearer-eyed analysis of where we might go next."
 

"In this incisive new book, Branko Milanovic draws on his unique combination of empirical rigor, philosophical depth, and sharp commentary to illuminate the forces behind the great transformations of our time. Anyone who wants to understand the issues that will decide our future should read it.”

"No one describes better and quantifies with such precision the global transformations now underway than Branko Milanovic. This is a must-read for anyone concerned about the future of the world order."

"A provocative tour-de-force, with panoramic sweep and profound insight into the US-China rivalry. Branko Milanovic reshapes how we think about inequality within and among countries and shows how economic power drives the geopolitics of our emerging multipolar world."

"More than anyone alive, Branko Milanovic was likely to propound a grand theory of our perplexing global moment, rooted in data and facts. With brilliance, panache, and reliability, he has done it in this stellar book. The rise of China has prompted comparable developments across opposed states, as the neoliberal politics of monied elites continue to stoke rage. No one knows what comes next, but no one more than Milanovic has seen more persuasively where we are."

"In this masterful account of The Great Global Transformation, Branko Milanovic combines his deep knowledge of political economy and philosophy and mastery of distributional statistics to the utmost limits of their ability to explain the rise of Asia and the corresponding decline of the West."

"This latest grand narrative from Blanko Milanovich vividly captures a world at another crossroads, caught in shifting geopolitical and ideological megatrends marked by the phenomenal rise of China and the rise of Nationalism in the West in the last two decades. Liberal democracy is under siege even in the West and in retreat elsewhere. With eloquence, humour, astuteness, and magisterial presentation of quantitative data, Milanovich offers a penetrating tale of how we arrived here in the last fifty years and, most importantly, some critical insights on where we might be heading."

"With compelling evidence and lucid analysis, Branko Milanović illuminates how neoliberal globalization since the 1980s produced both the rise of super-rich oligarchs in the West and the rise of China. These twin transformations, he argues, ultimately undermined the neoliberal globalization project by fueling nationalist, anti-establishment backlashes across the developed world. This book is essential reading for anyone seeking to grasp and solve the global crisis of our time."

"Branko Milanovic is a singularly fearless, incisive, and panoramic thinker. The Great Global Transformation is a path-breaking analysis of how Asia's rise has shattered the neoliberal world order and what might come next."

"Yet another fascinating book by the prolific Branko Milanovic."

"Branko Milanovic analyses with great clarity the historical forces, greater than any we have seen in the last two centuries, presently transforming the world. Everyone who wants to understand these titanic changes must read this book. It is essential reading."