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Strategic Decision-Making: An Integrated Approach to Uncertainty

Autor Mark Phillips
en Limba Engleză Paperback – 22 apr 2027
Uncertainty is not the absence of knowledge. It is the presence of possibility. 
Mark Phillips has spent a career making high-stakes decisions in the automotive and software industries, and over fifteen years working with probabilistic machine learning. In this groundbreaking book, he brings that experience to a practitioner's case that uncertainty is not a problem to be solved but is where strategy operates. The result is an orientation, not a formula: reading decisions as option surfaces, holding possibilities open, acting at the last responsible moment rather than the first available one. 
Rather than argue from theory alone, Phillips lets the cases do the work. A wholesale auto auction reveals how markets price what cannot be known. Hospitals during COVID-19 show decision-making when the model breaks. China's watch and auto industries demonstrate patient optionality dismantling entrenched incumbents. Each builds toward one proposition. Optionality is the weapon of the strategically patient against the conventionally powerful. 
For executives, professionals, students, and consultants, this is a master class in turning uncertainty into strategic advantage.
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9781041317302
ISBN-10: 1041317301
Pagini: 170
Ilustrații: 12
Dimensiuni: 156 x 234 mm
Ediția:1
Editura: Taylor & Francis
Colecția Routledge
Locul publicării:Oxford, United Kingdom

Public țintă

Professional Practice & Development

Cuprins

List of Figures
Preface
 
Introduction: An Integrated Approach
Chapter 1: Expanding Optionality
Chapter 2: Creating Decisions Under Uncertainty
Chapter 3: Harvesting Uncertainty
Chapter 4: AI and the Reflected Instrument
Chapter 5: Escaping Certainty
Chapter 6: Today’s Application
Afterword: Experience the Frontier
Getting More Out of This Book: How to Use and Teach This Book
Concept Index: Where the Threads Run
Appendix: Acknowledgments and A Note on Method
Index

Notă biografică

Mark Phillips is the author of Reinventing Communication: How to Design, Lead and Manage High Performing Teams, the editor of The Practitioners’ Handbook on Project Performance: Agile, Waterfall and Beyond, and numerous articles, blog posts and presentations. He is a senior executive in the automotive industry and can be found at reinventingcommunication.com.

Descriere

Mark Phillips has spent a career making high-stakes decisions in the automotive and software industries, and over fifteen years working with probabilistic machine learning. In this groundbreaking book, he brings that experience to a practitioner's case that uncertainty is not a problem to be solved but is where strategy operates.