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Innumeracy in the Wild: Misunderstanding and Misusing Numbers

Autor Ellen Peters
en Limba Engleză Hardback – 21 iul 2020
Our grasp of numbers and uncertainty is one of humankind's most distinctive and important traits. It is pivotal to our exceptional ability to control the world around us as we make short-term choices and forecast far into the future. But very smart people can struggle with numbers in ways that pose negative consequences for their decision making. Numeric ability equips individuals with vital tools that allow them to take charge of various aspects of their life. The more numerate enjoy superior health, wealth, and employment outcomes, while the innumerate remain more vulnerable.This book presents the logic, rules, and habits that highly numerate people use in decision making. Innumeracy in the Wild also introduces two additional ways of knowing numbers that complement and compensate for lower numeric ability and explores how numeric abilities develop and where mistakes are made. It offers a state-of-the-art review of the now sizeable body of psychological and applied findings that demonstrate the critical importance of numeracy in our world. With more than two decades of experience in the decision sciences, Ellen Peters demonstrates how intervention can foster adult numeric capacity, propel people to use numeric facts in decision making, and empower those with lower numeracy to reason better.
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9780190861094
ISBN-10: 0190861096
Pagini: 314
Dimensiuni: 155 x 236 x 28 mm
Greutate: 0.58 kg
Editura: Oxford University Press
Colecția OUP USA
Locul publicării:New York, United States

Recenzii

Peters presents a fascinating interdisciplinary examination of how well people understand and use numbers. Although intended mostly for other researchers, there is tremendous value for those who just want to understand their own numeracy and its sometimes surprising consequences, as well as improve upon it in order to make better decisions.
Ellen Peters' Innumeracy in the Wild is a compelling exploration of the psychological mechanisms that explain why and how numbers lead to poor decisions by some and sound ones by others. This book is a must read for those across the academy concerned with correcting misinformed beliefs about health, finances, and politics.
In Innumeracy in the Wild, Ellen Peters offers a multi-faceted, empirically driven approach to a major societal challenge: ensuring that non-experts receive scientifically sound information in the timely, comprehensible form needed for them to make effective decisions and have voice in domains where they might otherwise be disenfranchised.
My copy is already full of ticked sentences and crosses in the margin of the numerous references that I still want to check. So this book is highly recommended. Anyone who thinks they are bad with numbers will learn a lot from them. And who thinks he is good with numbers, especially.

Notă biografică

Ellen Peters is Philip H. Knight Chair, Professor of Journalism and Communication, and Director of the Media Center for Science and Technology at the University of Oregon. She studies the basic building blocks of human judgment and decision making and is particularly interested in how people think and feel their way through decisions in our increasingly complex world.

Cuprins

  • Section I. Introduction
  • Chapter 1. The Types and Extent of Innumeracy
  • Section II. The Objectively Innumerate
  • Chapter 2. Innumeracy, Incomprehension, and Inconsistency
  • Chapter 3. Reliance on Heuristics and Concrete, Easy-to-evaluate Attributes
  • Chapter 4. Feelings and Frames
  • Section III. The Habits of the Highly Numerate
  • Chapter 5. Thinking Harder with Numbers
  • Chapter 6. The Highly Numerate Understand the Feel of Numbers
  • Chapter 7. Numeric Sensitivity and Consistent Use of Numbers
  • Chapter 8. Numerically Imperfect Reasoning among the Highly Numerate
  • Section IV. Objective numeracy, life outcomes, and what we don't know
  • Chapter 9. Numeracy's Secret Connection With Life Outcomes
  • Chapter 10. Issues and Opportunities in Objective Numeracy Research
  • Section V. The Emergence of Number Understanding
  • Chapter 11. The Approximate Number System (ANS) and Discriminating Magnitudes
  • Chapter 12. Genetics and Formal Education
  • Section VI. Two Additional Ways of Knowing Numbers
  • Chapter 13. Discriminating Numbers Allows for Better Decisions
  • Chapter 14. Subjective Numeracy and Knowing What You Know
  • Section VII. Numbers are Just Numbers - The Impotence of Data Versus the Power of Information
  • Chapter 15. Evidence-based Information Presentation Matters
  • Chapter 16. Provide Numbers But Reduce Cognitive Effort
  • Chapter 17. Provide Evaluative Meaning And Direct Attention
  • Section VIII. Becoming More Numerate
  • Chapter 18. Training Numeracy
  • Chapter 19. Reflections on Numeracy and the Power of Reasoning Numerically
  • Appendix