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Finding Fact Before Fixing: How Business Professionals Can Avoid False Assumptions When Solving Problems

Autor Seamus Maguire
en Limba Engleză Paperback – 17 iun 2026
This book is an exploration of the reasons, biases, and blind spots that result in people making assumptions and jumping to conclusions during problem-solving. It delves deep into why, even experts, often make errors in judgment when problem-solving. Through a combination of behavioral science, data science, and real-world examples, this project is aimed at equipping the reader with a deeper understanding and awareness and a practical toolset to allow them to separate speculation from fact and get to the true root cause.The book applies principles of lean thinking, scientific method, and statistical analysis to problem-solving scenarios. By introducing concepts such as Attribute agreement analysis, Cognitive biases, Hypothesis testing, and Special cause vs Common cause, the book provides the reader with a structure that enables them to navigate complex problems. The narrative is enriched with stories and anecdotes that reinforce the concepts and demonstrate how the tools were and can be successfully used. In addition, the book demonstrates through some of these stories the negative impact that assumptions have had in various fields ranging from medicine to Engineering.Essentially, the book makes rigorous problem-solving methodologies and the application of the scientific method engaging and accessible. The book employs humor, storytelling, and relatable anecdotes to illustrate abstract concepts, making it an effective learning tool for both professionals and general readers. Readers are encouraged to actively challenge their own biases, improving their ability to validate assumptions before acting on them.
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9781041130307
ISBN-10: 1041130309
Pagini: 120
Ilustrații: 44
Dimensiuni: 178 x 254 mm
Ediția:1
Editura: Taylor & Francis
Colecția Productivity Press
Locul publicării:Oxford, United Kingdom

Public țintă

Professional Practice & Development

Cuprins

Chapter 1: The Double-Edged Sword of Guesswork Chapter 2: Cognitive Biases – The Mind’s Shortcuts Chapter 3: Tools to Avoid Assumption Errors Chapter 4: Applying the Scientific Method in Everyday Life Chapter 5: Common vs. Special Cause Variation Chapter 6: Attribute Agreement Analysis - The Overlooked Factor Chapter 7: Just Because it Looks Like a Duck and Quacks Like a Duck, Doesn’t Mean it’s a Duck Chapter 8: Turning Guesses into Facts Chapter 9: Good Guess Simulation Games  Chapter 10: Hansei  Chapter 11: Good Problem Solving Done Right     

Notă biografică

Séamus Maguire is a VP of Lean Systems at a global medical device manufacturing company. With 20 years of experience in problem-solving methodologies, he is a Lean Systems Master Black Belt, (ASQ) Six Sigma Black Belt, and Scrum Master, and has a background in Analytical Chemistry. Combining amusing anecdotes, deep expertise, and extensive industry experience he helps businesses make smarter decisions.

Descriere

This book is an exploration of the reasons, biases, and blind spots that result in people making assumptions and jumping to conclusions during problem-solving. It delves deep into why, even experts, often make errors in judgment when problem-solving.