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The Science of Decision Making

Autor Eric V. Denardo
en Limba Engleză Paperback – 14 aug 2001
Dieses Lehrbuch bietet eine kohärente Darstellung der Entscheidungstheorie. Berücksichtigt werden Modelle der Unternehmensforschung (Operations Research) und Wahrscheinlichkeitsmodelle, die für Entscheidungsprozesse relevant sind. Ein besonderer Schwerpunkt liegt auf der Betrachtung der Beziehungen zwischen diesen Modellen und ihrer Relevanz für Entscheidungsfindungen in fast allen Berufsgruppen. Mit Hilfe von Excel-Spreadsheets werden verschiedene Techniken und ihre Anwendung genau erläutert und beschrieben. "The Science of Decision Making " zeigt dem Leser anschaulich, wie er mit komplexen Systemen effizient umgeht.
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9780471318279
ISBN-10: 0471318272
Pagini: 720
Dimensiuni: 210 x 280 x 38 mm
Greutate: 1.73 kg
Editura: Wiley
Locul publicării:Hoboken, United States

Public țintă

Managers, general business readers, instructors.

Notă biografică

Educated at Princeton and Northwestern Universities, Eric V. Denardo worked for AT&T and The Rand Corporation before joining the faculty of Yale University. His work is noted for its breadth, innovation, and elegance.

Cuprins

Preface.

PART A: INTRODUCTION.

The Science of Decision Making.

Getting Started with Spreadsheets.

PART B: USING LINEAR PROGRAMS.

Analyzing Solutions of Linear Programs.

A Survey of Linear Programs.

Networks.

Integer Programs.

PART C: PROBABILITY FOR DECISION MAKING.

Introduction to Probability Models.

Discrete Random Variables.

Decision Trees and Generalizations.

Utility Theory and Decision Analysis.

Continuous Random Variables.

PART D: STOCHASTIC SYSTEMS.

Inventory.

Markov Chains.

Queueing.

Simulation.

PART E: GAME THEORY.

Game Theory.

PART F: SOLVING LINEAR PROGRAMS.

Solving Linear Equations.

The Simplex Method.

Duality.

Appendix: Note on Excel.

Index.

Descriere

This text is a coherent account of the science of decision making. It includes the models of operations research and those models of probability that relate to decision making. An emphasis in placed between these connections and relates these models to nearly all of the professions.