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Clear Thinking: Professional Practice in Governance and Public Organizations

Autor Randolph H. Pherson, Ole Donner, Oliver Gnad
en Limba Engleză Paperback – mar 2025
This book enables analysts in government and the private sector as well as policy advisors and decision makers to assess global risks and opportunities systematically, make well-founded and informed decisions, and anticipate the unanticipated.
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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9783031487682
ISBN-10: 3031487680
Pagini: 264
Dimensiuni: 155 x 235 x 15 mm
Greutate: 0.41 kg
Editura: Springer
Colecția Professional Practice in Governance and Public Organizations
Seria Professional Practice in Governance and Public Organizations


Notă biografică

Ole Donner ist Gründer des Trainings- und Beratungsunternehmens "Strukturierte Analyse Deutschland" und agiert in dieser Position als Trainer und Berater. Zu seinen Kunden zählen staatliche Institutionen wie die Kriminalpolizei, zwischenstaatliche Organisationen wie die NATO sowie nationale und internationale Wirtschaftsunternehmen. Sein Ziel lautet stets: die jeweilige "Intelligence"- und Analysefähigkeit zu steigern. Ole Donner ist Research Fellow am Institute for Intelligence and Security Management an der Northern Business School Hamburg und Initiator der German Intelligence Community Conference. Oliver Gnad ist Gründer des "Bureaus für Zeitgeschehen", einer Denkfabrik, die sich auf strategische Vorausschau und Szenarien-Planung spezialisiert hat. Gnad ist Senior Visiting Fellow des German Marshall Fund of the United States, Dozent an der Hertie School in Berlin und zertifizierter Senior Instructor für Strukturierte Analyse-Techniken (SAT). Randolph H. Pherson ist Mitbegründer und war bis zu seinem Tod im Januar 2024 Geschäftsführer von Pherson Associates. Er hat Analysten in vielen Ländern der Welt, darunter Großbritannien, Italien, Norwegen, Dänemark, Spanien, Rumänien, Australien, Saudi-Arabien und Hongkong, fortgeschrittene Analysetechniken und Fähigkeiten zum kritischen Denken vermittelt.

Cuprins

Chapter 1. Setting the Stage.- Chapter 2. Understanding How We Think: System I and System 2.- Chapter 3. Conceptualizing Your Topic.- Chapter 4. Blackout In Berlin!.- Chapter 5. Terror in Stockholm.- Chapter 6. Conflict or Cooperation in the Arctic?.- Chapter 7. Optimizing the Impact of Your Product.- Chapter 8. Outlook.


Textul de pe ultima copertă

This book enables analysts in government and the private sector as well as policy advisors and decision makers to assess global risks and opportunities systematically, make well-founded and informed decisions, and anticipate the unanticipated. The authors illuminate the basics of intuitive and analytical thinking and how structured techniques can mitigate the impact of cognitive biases, misapplied heuristics, and intuitive traps. Three case studies illustrate how to apply over 30 Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) with step-by-step instructions. The final chapter focuses on how to optimize the impact of your analytic product, be it a paper, briefing, or digital display.

Caracteristici

Integrates cognitive psychology with Structured Analytic Techniques to produce high impact intelligence analysis Provides clear and concise guidance for improving decision-making and critical thinking and writing skills Shows how structured techniques are applied to three real-world case studies