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An Introduction to Infectious Disease Modelling

Autor Emilia Vynnycky, Richard White
en Limba Engleză Paperback – 13 mai 2010

Remarcăm contribuția autorilor Emilia Vynnycky și Richard White, profesori în cadrul prestigioasei London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, care au condensat ani de experiență didactică în acest manual de referință. Structura volumului An Introduction to Infectious Disease Modelling este concepută pentru a demistifica complexitatea matematică, fiind orientată către epidemiologi, cercetători în sănătate publică și decidenți politici care au nevoie de instrumente predictive fără a deține neapărat un doctorat în matematică. Apreciem abordarea pragmatică a celor 400 de pagini, unde conceptele de bază despre transmisia infecțiilor sunt susținute vizual de 220 de diagrame și completate de resurse digitale interactive.

Suntem de părere că volumul excelează în explicarea modului în care modelele matematice pot evalua impactul strategiilor de vaccinare sau pot optimiza controlul epidemiilor de gripă pandemică și HIV. Față de alte lucrări teoretice, această ediție publicată de OUP Oxford pune accent pe aplicabilitatea imediată în politici de sănătate. În procesul de documentare, acest titlu completează excelent lucrarea Models for Infectious Human Diseases de Valerie Isham, adăugând o componentă practică și modele interactive care permit cititorului să experimenteze direct cu diferiți parametri de control. Dacă volumul lui Isham oferă o perspectivă stochastică și statistică vastă, An Introduction to Infectious Disease Modelling rafinează aceste concepte într-un format accesibil, ideal pentru implementarea rapidă în scenarii de criză epidemiologică.

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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9780198565765
ISBN-10: 0198565763
Pagini: 400
Ilustrații: 220 black and white line drawings
Dimensiuni: 158 x 234 x 22 mm
Greutate: 0.59 kg
Ediția:New.
Editura: OUP OXFORD
Colecția OUP Oxford
Locul publicării:Oxford, United Kingdom

De ce să citești această carte

Este resursa ideală pentru specialiștii din sănătate publică și epidemiologie care doresc să înțeleagă mecanica din spatele predicțiilor bolilor infecțioase fără a se pierde în formalism matematic extrem. Veți câștiga capacitatea de a interpreta și construi modele de bază pentru strategii de vaccinare, beneficiind de expertiza unor profesori de la London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.


Despre autor

Emilia Vynnycky și Richard White sunt cercetători și cadre didactice de renume la London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), o instituție globală de elită în domeniul sănătății publice. Specializați în epidemiologia bolilor infecțioase, aceștia au dezvoltat cursuri fundamentale de modelare matematică, adaptând rigurozitatea academică la nevoile practice ale cercetătorilor din teren și ale medicilor statisticieni.


Descriere

Mathematical models are increasingly being used to examine questions in infectious disease control. Applications include predicting the impact of vaccination strategies against common infections and determining optimal control strategies against HIV and pandemic influenza.This book introduces individuals interested in infectious diseases to this exciting and expanding area. The mathematical level of the book is kept as simple as possible, which makes the book accessible to those who have not studied mathematics to university level. Understanding is further enhanced by models that can be accessed online, which will allow readers to explore the impact of different factors and control strategies, and further adapt and develop the models themselves. The book is based on successful courses developed by the authors at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. It will be of interest to epidemiologists, public health researchers, policy makers, veterinary scientists, medical statisticians and infectious disease researchers.

Recenzii

This is a book that really introduces non-specialists to the growing field of Mathematical Epidemiology. I am sure that public health specialists, epidimiologists, clinicians, veterinarians, statisticians, mathematicians, economists, and even professional modellers will profit from this book. I recommend it to all my students and now to the readers of Epidemiology and Infection
This is an excellent text book and readers can be assured that 'it does exactly what it says on the tin': provide a thorough introduction to infectious disease modelling. I will be turning to [it] for reference frequently for its clear explanations and topical worked examples.
This book has grown out of the experience of the authors teaching such a course for several years at the London School of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. The Contents are very comprehensive, with chapters on basic terminology concerning infections and transmission, models based on difference equations, models based on differential equations, basic output from models, age patterns, stochastic modelling, contact patterns, models for sexually transmitted infections, some special topics (varicella vaccination and boosting, serotype replacement, tuberculosis control, HIV/STI co-infection) and an appendix on mathematical matters. The basic ideas are illustrated by many examples and case studies, among which several related to very up to date research and references. All relevant keywords and modern catchwords related to infectious disease modelling are mentioned and explained.

Notă biografică

Emilia Vynnycky obtained a BA in Mathematics from Oxford University, followed by an MSc in Operational Research from Southampton University and a PhD in Infectious Disease Modelling at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), where she subsequently worked as a Lecturer until 2003. She is now senior scientist in the Modelling and Economics Unit at the Health Protection Agency (HPA), Centre for Infections. Emilia has worked on modelling the transmission and control of several different infectious diseases including tuberculosis, rubella, pandemic and seasonal influenza, measles and HIV. Emilia has also led the development of the LSHTM/HPA Infectious Disease Modelling MSc module and summer short course since its inception in 2001 with Richard White, and is currently an honorary Lecturer at LSHTM.Richard White obtained a BSc (Physics) from Durham University and an MSc (Medical Demography) and PhD (Infectious Disease Modelling) from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. He is now Senior Lecturer in Infectious Disease Modelling in the Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases at LSHTM and a Medical Research Council Methodology Research Fellow. Richard has worked extensively in recent years using mathematical modelling and classical epidemiological techniques to understand the epidemiology and control of sexually transmitted infections/HIV and other infectious diseases in developing countries. Richard is currently involved in modelling projects on the transmission and control of many infectious diseases including HIV, tuberculosis, herpes simplex virus-2, influenza, human papillomavirus and rift valley fever, in places as diverse as Senegal and Soho. He is associate editor of the journal Sexually Transmitted Infections.