Random Dictatorships: Unpredictability of Authoritarian Politics in Eurasia
Autor Alexander Libmanen Limba Engleză Hardback – 19 feb 2026
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Specificații
ISBN-13: 9781666960556
ISBN-10: 1666960551
Pagini: 224
Ilustrații: 2 figures and 5 tables
Dimensiuni: 152 x 229 x 25 mm
Greutate: 0.45 kg
Editura: Bloomsbury Publishing
Colecția Bloomsbury Academic
Locul publicării:New York, United States
ISBN-10: 1666960551
Pagini: 224
Ilustrații: 2 figures and 5 tables
Dimensiuni: 152 x 229 x 25 mm
Greutate: 0.45 kg
Editura: Bloomsbury Publishing
Colecția Bloomsbury Academic
Locul publicării:New York, United States
Cuprins
List of figures
List of tables
Introduction
1. The Autocrats' Goals
2. Mistakes
3. Secrecy
4. Informal Coalitions
5. Sovietology and the Collapse of the Soviet Union
6. Annexation of Crimea
7. Bloody January in Kazakhstan
8. Russia's Full-Scale Invasion to Ukraine
Conclusion
References
About the Author
List of tables
Introduction
1. The Autocrats' Goals
2. Mistakes
3. Secrecy
4. Informal Coalitions
5. Sovietology and the Collapse of the Soviet Union
6. Annexation of Crimea
7. Bloody January in Kazakhstan
8. Russia's Full-Scale Invasion to Ukraine
Conclusion
References
About the Author
Recenzii
Unpredictability is encoded in the DNA of autocracy, but its implications are complex and not well understood. Drawing on an impressive synthesis of recent research and deep case studies from the Soviet Union, Russia and Kazakhstan, Alexander Libman demonstrates that unpredictability is not just a feature of autocracy; it is also a tool that leaders use to frustrate citizens and academic observers alike. Random Dictatorships: Unpredictability of Authoritarian Politics in Eurasia overflows with rich insights on autocracy and how we study it. It is required reading for anyone interested in the topic.
Alexander Libman, in his new and refreshingly epistemologically honest book, drawing from in-depth studies of several Eurasian dictatorships, underlines not only that the politics and policies in dictatorships are often random but also offers a theoretically grounded explanation for why the murkiness and occasional unpredictability of authoritarian politics is a built-in feature, not a bug. Random Dictatorships is a tour de force that manages to hit the sweet spot between the rigor and generalizability of comparative authoritarianism approach and the area studies' expert knowledge of how dictatorships really work.
Time and again, social scientists are left flummoxed by the unpredictable behavior of autocrats. Alexander Libman offers an insightful and provocative explanation for why this is so. Drawing on case studies of surprising decisions by post-Soviet autocrats-most prominently Vladimir Putin's decision to invade Ukraine- Libman argues that the opaqueness and secrecy of autocratic regimes impedes our ability to make accurate predictions about their future behavior. Like few others, this book poses a constructive challenge to all scholars of authoritarian regimes and should be read and debated widely.
Alexander Libman, in his new and refreshingly epistemologically honest book, drawing from in-depth studies of several Eurasian dictatorships, underlines not only that the politics and policies in dictatorships are often random but also offers a theoretically grounded explanation for why the murkiness and occasional unpredictability of authoritarian politics is a built-in feature, not a bug. Random Dictatorships is a tour de force that manages to hit the sweet spot between the rigor and generalizability of comparative authoritarianism approach and the area studies' expert knowledge of how dictatorships really work.
Time and again, social scientists are left flummoxed by the unpredictable behavior of autocrats. Alexander Libman offers an insightful and provocative explanation for why this is so. Drawing on case studies of surprising decisions by post-Soviet autocrats-most prominently Vladimir Putin's decision to invade Ukraine- Libman argues that the opaqueness and secrecy of autocratic regimes impedes our ability to make accurate predictions about their future behavior. Like few others, this book poses a constructive challenge to all scholars of authoritarian regimes and should be read and debated widely.