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Predicting Future Oceans: Sustainability of Ocean and Human Systems Amidst Global Environmental Change de William Cheung

Predicting Future Oceans: Sustainability of Ocean and Human Systems Amidst Global Environmental Change

Editat de William Cheung, Yoshitaka Ota, Andres Cisneros-Montemayor
en Limba Engleză Paperback – 20 aug 2019

În contextul programelor universitare de studii de mediu și oceanografie, Predicting Future Oceans se poziționează ca o resursă academică fundamentală pentru înțelegerea traiectoriei ecosistemelor marine sub presiunea schimbărilor globale. Lucrarea, publicată de ELSEVIER SCIENCE, reprezintă o sinteză a expertizei colective din cadrul rețelei Nereus Program, integrând perspective din 17 institute de cercetare de elită. Remarcăm abordarea holistică a editorilor William Cheung, Yoshitaka Ota și Andres Cisneros-Montemayor, care depășesc barierele disciplinare clasice pentru a analiza oceanele ca sisteme complexe, unde factorii ecologici și cei socio-economici sunt indisolubil legați.

Structura volumului este riguros organizată în secțiuni care ghidează cititorul de la mecanismele fizice ale schimbării (evenimente climatice extreme, acumularea de metilmercur) către dinamica biodiversității și, în final, către implicațiile umane profunde. Această progresie logică permite o analiză detaliată a modului în care biomasa marină și biogeografia speciilor exploatate se vor modifica în viitor. Subliniem relevanța capitolului dedicat echității și suveranității, elemente care transformă datele pur științifice în pârghii pentru politici publice.

Această lucrare completează perspectiva oferită de Oceans and Society de Ana Spalding, adăugând o componentă robustă de modelare predictivă și o bază de date extinsă provenită din cercetarea fundamentală în științele naturii. Dacă Sea Change, o altă lucrare coordonată de William Cheung, se concentra pe guvernanța și sustenabilitatea resurselor într-un context regional, volumul de față extinde analiza la scară globală, oferind un fundament teoretic și practic necesar pentru gestionarea resurselor naturale în Anthropocen.

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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9780128179451
ISBN-10: 0128179457
Pagini: 582
Ilustrații: 300 illustrations (300 in full color)
Dimensiuni: 191 x 235 x 33 mm
Greutate: 0.99 kg
Editura: ELSEVIER SCIENCE

De ce să citești această carte

Recomandăm această carte studenților și profesioniștilor din domeniul conservării marine care au nevoie de o bază științifică solidă pentru a înțelege viitorul oceanelor. Cititorul câștigă acces la o sinteză multidisciplinară rară, susținută de 300 de ilustrații color, care explică nu doar cum se schimbă oceanele, ci și cum putem adapta sistemele umane pentru a asigura sustenabilitatea resurselor și sănătatea comunităților de coastă.

Descriere scurtă

Predicting Future Oceans: Sustainability of Ocean and Human Systems Amidst Global Environmental Change provides a synthesis of our knowledge of the future state of the oceans. The editors undertake the challenge of integrating diverse perspectives—from oceanography to anthropology—to exhibit the changes in ecological conditions and their socioeconomic implications. Each contributing author provides a novel perspective, with the book as a whole collating scholarly understandings of future oceans and coastal communities across the world. The diverse perspectives, syntheses and state-of-the-art natural and social sciences contributions are led by past and current research fellows and principal investigators of the Nereus Program network.
This includes members at 17 leading research institutes, addressing themes such as oceanography, biodiversity, fisheries, mariculture production, economics, pollution, public health and marine policy.
This book is a comprehensive resource for senior undergraduate and postgraduate readers studying social and natural science, as well as practitioners working in the field of natural resources management and marine conservation.


  • Provides a synthesis of our knowledge on the future state of the oceans
  • Includes recommendations on how to move forwards
  • Highlights key social aspects linked to ocean ecosystems, including health, equity and sovereignty

Cuprins

Section 1: Predicting future oceans
1. Rethinking oceans as coupled human-natural systems to achieve sustainability
Section 2: Changing ocean systems
2. Synthesis: Changing ocean systems
3. Drivers of fisheries production in complex social-ecological systems
4. Changing Seasonality of the Sea: Past, Present, and Future
5. Extreme climate events in the oceans
6. Pathways of methylmercury accumulation in a changing ocean
7. Building confidence in projections of future ocean capacity
8. Coastal upwelling and climate change
Section 3: Changing marine ecosystems and biodiversity
9. Sythesis: Changing marine ecosystems and biodiversity
10. Current and future biogeography of marine exploited groups under climate change
11. The role of cyclical oscillations in species distributions shifts under climate change
12. Changing biomass flows in marine ecosystems: From the past to the future
13. Jellyfishes in a changing ocean
14. Understanding fisheries using time series data: importance and opportunities emerging from models of bottom up forcing
15. The Sea Around Us as provider of global fisheries catch and related marine biodiversity data to the Nereus Program and civil society
16. Life history of marine fishes and their implications for the future oceans
Section 4: Changing fisheries and seafood supply
17. Synthesis: Changing fisheries and seafood supply
18. Projecting fishing effort dynamics and the economics of fishing in the 21st century under climate change
19. Prospect of mariculture under climate change
20. Tourist seafood consumption's role in tourism adaptation in Pacific Island Countries for coastal food security under climate change
21. Integrating environmental information into stock assessment models for fisheries management
22. The future landscape of the global seafood market
23. Climate change adaptations and spatial fisheries management
24. Climate Change, Contaminants, and Country Food: Collaborating with Communities to Promote Food Security in the Arctic
Section 5: Changing social world of the ocean
25. Synthesis: Changing social world of the oceans
26. The relevance of human rights to socially responsible seafood
27. The impact of environmental change on small-scale fishing communities: Moving beyond adaptive capacity to community response
28. Coastal Indigenous Peoples in global ocean governance
29. The role of corporate social responsibility for ocean sustainability
30. Ocean policy on the water – incorporating fishermen’s perspectives
31. Traditional ecological knowledge in displacement and migration
32. Can aspirations lead us to the oceans we want?
Section 6: Governance and well-being in changing oceans
33. Synthesis: The opportunities of changing ocean governance for sustainability
34. A Blue Economy: Equitable, Sustainable, and Viable Development in the World’s Oceans
35. Exploring the knowns and unknowns of international fishery conflicts
36. The future of mangrove fishing communities
37. The last commons: (Re)constructing an ocean future
38. New actors, new possibilities, new challenges - Non-state actor participation in global fisheries management
39. Climate change vulnerability and ocean governance
Section 7: Ocean governance beyond boundaries
40. Synthesis: The opportunities of changing ocean governance for sustainability with Erik
41. Conserving the great blue "beyond." Incorporating the dynamic and connected nature of the open ocean in the biodiversity beyond national jurisdiction (BBNJ) negotiations
42. Legitimacy as a resource for effective international marine management
43. Improving fisheries governance in a fragmented and decentralized world
44. The Trouble with Tunas: International Fisheries Science and Policy in an Uncertain Future
45. The road to implementing an ecosystem-based approach to high seas fisheries management
46. Ocean Pollution in an Era of Changing Oceans and Climate Change: Towards Ocean Conservation Solutions
47. Beyond prediction: Radical Ocean Futures– A science fiction prototyping approach to imagining our future oceans
Section 8: Conclusion
48. Future pathways for the oceans considering climate change and social equity

Recenzii

"This valuable book examines the changing ocean in the context of both environment and human society with the goal of framing how coastal and marine systems can survive. Many of us in the ocean conservation community have been saying we need to change the human relationship with the ocean for greater sustainability. What is useful is this book’s attempt to make the leap to predictions that take these biophysical changes, adaptation by humans, and a myriad of other factors into account in order to “see” how to get to the best possible future. Rather than predict doom, the volume strives to define a better relationship between human societies and the ocean, based on sustainability and equity. The challenge will be to redesign ocean governance for true sustainability at subnational, national, inter-governmental, and regional, as well as international levels—in the context of unprecedented and unpredictable global change in ocean systems. Meeting these challengeswill require changes of similar magnitude in governance including substantially increased accountability, transparency, and equity in the distribution of costs and benefits to be legitimate and successful. Such equity, and thus sustainability, must be intergenerational, local, and global—and this well-designed and well-written book helps us understand how we got here and where we can go." --The Quarterly Review of Biology