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Overreach: How China Derailed its Peaceful Rise de Susan Shirk

Overreach: How China Derailed its Peaceful Rise

Autor Susan Shirk
en Limba Engleză Paperback – 3 feb 2026

Destinată nivelului de licență avansată și masterat în relații internaționale, Overreach reprezintă o resursă esențială de referință profesională pentru înțelegerea mecanismelor interne ale Partidului Comunist Chinez. Observăm cum Susan Shirk reușește să deschidă „cutia neagră” a sistemului politic de la Beijing, oferind o perspectivă lucidă asupra modului în care China a deraiat de la traiectoria sa de ascensiune pașnică. Analiza se concentrează pe un moment de cotitură istoric: tranziția de la pragmatismul reținut de după 1976 la politicile expansioniste și jingoismul domestic actual.

Cititorii familiarizați cu China: Fragile Superpower vor aprecia modul în care acest nou volum actualizează teza autoarei. Dacă în lucrarea anterioară accentul cădea pe fragilitatea regimului în fața globalizării, în Overreach descoperim o argumentație solidă despre cum succesul economic și centralizarea excesivă a puterii sub Xi Jinping au condus la o confruntare deschisă cu Occidentul. Merită menționat că, spre deosebire de abordarea din Chinese Assertiveness, Ideational Mobilization, and the Rise of Xi Jinping, care explorează mobilizarea ideologică, Shirk pune accent pe dinamica birocratică și pe competiția dintre oficiali pentru a implementa directivele tot mai radicale ale centrului.

Structura narativă este una riguroasă, susținută de note de subsol vaste și acces privilegiat la surse diplomatice. Tonul este sobru, evitând senzaționalismul, dar oferind un diagnostic tulburător: China a trecut de la un actor care dorea să asigure lumea de bunele sale intenții la o putere care își exercită controlul militar și tehnologic cu un cost ridicat pentru stabilitatea globală. Este o analiză critică a modului în care teama de instabilitatea internă a împins leadership-ul chinez spre o postură externă agresivă.

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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9780197813799
ISBN-10: 0197813798
Pagini: 432
Dimensiuni: 144 x 207 x 23 mm
Greutate: 0.48 kg
Editura: Oxford University Press
Colecția OUP USA
Locul publicării:New York, United States

De ce să citești această carte

Această carte este esențială pentru studenții și specialiștii care doresc să înțeleagă de ce China a abandonat diplomația prudentă în favoarea unei politici de forță. Veți câștiga o perspectivă rară asupra modului în care luptele interne de putere de la Beijing dictează conflictele globale actuale. Este un instrument indispensabil pentru a decoda acțiunile Chinei în Marea Chinei de Sud și relația sa tensionată cu SUA.

Despre autor

Susan Shirk este una dintre cele mai respectate voci din mediul academic și diplomatic american în ceea ce privește politica chineză. Profesor emerit la Universitatea California, San Diego, și director al centrului de cercetare „21st Century China”, ea a servit ca Secretar de Stat adjunct în perioada administrației Clinton, fiind responsabilă de relațiile cu China, Taiwan și Hong Kong. Expertiza sa vastă, acumulată pe parcursul a decenii de cercetare de teren și dialog la nivel înalt, îi permite să ofere o analiză de o profunzime rar întâlnită în literatura de specialitate despre spațiul asiatic.

Descriere

Winner, The Lionel Gelber PrizeSilver Medal, Arthur Ross Book AwardFor decades, China's rise to power was characterized by its reassurance that this rise would be peaceful. Then, as Susan L. Shirk, shows in this sobering, clear-eyed account of China today, something changed.For three decades after Mao's death in 1976, China's leaders adopted a restrained approach to foreign policy. They determined that any threat to their power, and that of the Chinese Communist Party, came not from abroad but from within—a conclusion cemented by the 1989 Tiananmen crisis. To facilitate the country's inexorable economic ascendence, and to prevent a backlash, they reassured the outside world of China's peaceful intentions.Then, as Susan Shirk shows in this illuminating, disturbing, and utterly persuasive new book, something changed. China went from fragile superpower to global heavyweight, threatening Taiwan as well as its neighbors in the South China Sea, tightening its grip on Hong Kong, and openly challenging the United States for preeminence not just economically and technologically but militarily. China began to overreach. Combining her decades of research and experience, Shirk, one of the world's most respected experts on Chinese politics, argues that we are now fully embroiled in a new cold war.To explain what happened, Shirk pries open the "black box" of China's political system and looks at what derailed its peaceful rise. As she shows, the shift toward confrontation began in the mid-2000s under the mild-mannered Hu Jintao, first among equals in a collective leadership. As China's economy boomed, especially after the Global Financial Crisis of 2008, Hu and the other leaders lost restraint, abetting aggression toward the outside world and unchecked domestic social control. When Xi Jinping took power in 2012, he capitalized on widespread official corruption and open splits in the leadership to make the case for more concentrated power at the top. In the decade following, and to the present day—the eve of the 20th CCP Congress when he intends to claim a third term—he has accumulated greater power than any leader since Mao. Those who implement Xi's directives compete to outdo one another, provoking an even greater global backlash and stoking jingoism within China on a scale not seen since the Cultural Revolution.Here is a devastatingly lucid portrait of China today. Shirk's extensive interviews and meticulous analysis reveal the dynamics driving overreach. To counter it, she argues, the worst mistake the rest of the world, and the United States in particular, can make is to overreact. Understanding the domestic roots of China's actions will enable us to avoid the mistakes that could lead to war.

Recenzii

Complete with 64 pages of notes and a 15-page Index, her new book (which includes a fine analysis of the hot-button issues of Hong Kong and Taiwan) is an accessible and detailed account of where we have been with China, and how we got to this difficult state of affairs.
Susan Shirk's superb new book addresses the singular question echoing in the corridors of political and commercial power: why is China asserting itself in ways that upset global order? Drawing on decades of experience, Shirk answers it with insights drawn from myriad sources. Overreach is an essential read for anyone seeking to understand where China is going
A fascinating, behind-the-scenes investigation of China's internal politics that makes the unconventional but ultimately persuasive argument that the personalities, politics, and processes that have powered China's rise for decades are simultaneously subverting it. With Overreach, Shirk proves yet again why she is one of the most interesting thinkers and important voices on China of our time.
In this timely and important book, Susan Shirk dissects the nature of China's emerging threat, driven by growing aggressiveness in foreign policy and Xi Jinping's tightening domestic grip. Overreach, she warns in jargon-free prose, has triggered an equally self-defeating overreaction from America, and without a dramatic change in policy could lead to war.
Susan Shirk has both long experience and a deep understanding of China. Overreach offers an illuminating and sobering appraisal of where things stand today. It masterfully explains why China has taken its current worrisome course and offers invaluable advice as to how the United States should respond. An authoritative look at China in this critical movement in history.
Susan Shirk's masterful dissection of China's political leadership reveals a Party-state in near-constant struggle against perceived threats, creating a vicious policy cycle for the country and its partners. As Shirk's brilliant analysis shows, this dynamic upends global stability and China's vaunted peaceful rise.
The book includes excellent access to sources and endnotes that support Shirk's analysis.

Notă biografică

Susan L. Shirk is a Research Professor and Chair of the 21st Century China Center at the School of Global Policy and Strategy, UC San Diego. Shirk is the author of China: Fragile Superpower, and The Political Logic of Economic Reform in China. From 1997-2000, she served as Deputy Assistant Secretary of State in the Bureau of East Asia and Pacific Affairs, with responsibility for China, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Mongolia.