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2030 - The Future of Medicine: Avoiding a Medical Meltdown

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Notă GoodReads:
en Limba Engleză Paperback – 16 Dec 2010
Over the last couple of years, the credit crunch has driven a near-collapse of the world's financial systems. With the benefit of hindsight, many say this could have been predicted and avoided. Over the next 10-20 years, healthcare is headed for its own meltdown: an inability to fund the growth in demand and the appearance of costly new medical technology within the current healthcare systems framework. This 'meltdown' will not be as sudden as that in the world of finance: it will occur over the next 20 years, but the failure of the current sources of healthcare funding to meet our expectations of care quantity and quality will have consequences every bit as serious as the banking crisis. The warning signs are there, the crisis is already being predicted - but is it inevitable, or can it be avoided?

This book offers a penetrating analysis of the underlying problems, and offers some simple, but far-reaching solutions to bring supply and demand back into balance and avoid the meltdown. It is not a contribution to the current political debate but a primer for the changes to the underlying fabric of healthcare if reforms such as Obamacare have any chance of sustainable success.

In the course of the book, we confront many topical challenges: How can people be persuaded to manage their own health better?; Can we afford to spend more of today's money on disease prevention and detection, to save future costs?; Will 'personalised medicine' be cheaper, or more expensive?; Are healthcare IT systems a key part of the solution or doomed to be expensive white elephants?; and most importantly: What will the future of healthcare look like, for us and for our children and grandchildren?

To bring the answers to this final question alive, the book uses a fictitious family, the Carters, to illustrate the changes we will see, the dilemmas we will face and the solutions we must strive for. Interspersed between the text are the vignettes of members of the family, their diseases and treatments and how change has affected each of their lives.

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Specificații

ISBN-13: 9780199600663
ISBN-10: 019960066X
Pagini: 128
Ilustrații: 12 black and white line drawings, 1 black and white halftone and 1 colour halftone
Dimensiuni: 134 x 196 x 6 mm
Greutate: 0.16 kg
Editura: Oxford University Press
Colecția OUP Oxford
Locul publicării: Oxford, United Kingdom

Recenzii

Making care truly personal, redesigning how we deliver it, and creating incentives to progressively improve outcomes and productivity are at the heart of what we need to do. And it will be obvious from this list that only the overall framework can be established by government the rest is up to health system managers, medical professionals and all of us as patients.
The book reads with ease. The chapters are focused and the subject well-described. I liked the breakdown of the chapters in small parts, well and clearly titled. This helps to maintain the attention on a subject that can be rather dry...A thorough and very helpful overview of the impact that globalisation is having on the struggle countries face in their efforts (or lack of them) to try to manage the effects of drinking alcohol in their population and the impact onthe publlc health of their nations...I can see myself referring back to this book again and again in future as I assess my personal role in the health sector and engage colleagues and patients in the debate to determine what will be the best option(s) for the future.
An accessible and comprehensive snapshot of the complex healthcare environment with which policy makers wrestle...A must read for those who want to be part of solutions to get best treatments to the most people and allow us all to benefit from one of the most remarkably exciting fields of human activity...understanding and fixing ourselves.
This book is a must for healthcare leaders on both sides of the Atlantic. It grapples with the big question of how we can afford the future.
The next 20 years will see huge strides in how medical science could transform our lives. This book not only describes what will be possible but also whether and how we can afford it.
A very engaging and enjoyable read, covering a colossal amount of ground without feeling stretched...translating the more upstream science into practical implications for the general public. A great primer on the health future - for both the health-informed and those coming to such thoughts for the first time.
The author is to be congratulated: a well-rounded synopsis of the "present to the future" situation in healthcare...skillfully balancing the transition from basic to applied science, to healthcare and to potential political and economic solutions.
This book offers a penetrating analysis of the underlying problems, and offers some simple, but far-reaching solutions to bring supply and demand back into balance and avoid the meltdown. It is not a contribution to the current political debate but a primer for the changes to the underlying fabric of healthcare if reforms such as "Obamacare" have any chance of sustainable success.
The book goes where few go, and that is to compare issues in the U.S. and U.K. and note how some issues such as need for redesign are similar even though the healthcare payment or insurance models are different.
Barker's book is a brief and excellent primer on current and possible future trends in medical care. His readable prose captures and synthesizes well the current thinking on how to deal with costs associated with medical advancement.

Notă biografică

Richard has spent most of his career in healthcare, as a leader of organisations, as a board member and as a consultant. His leadership roles have spanned therapeutics, diagnostics and informatics both in the United States and in Europe. He was recently voted as one of the top 50 most influential people in UK healthcare and he sits on several healthcare and life sciences advisory boards on both sides of the Atlantic. His passions include securing a sustainablefuture for healthcare and redesigning how new medical technology is brought into practice. He now lives in London but is a frequent visitor to the US, where he spent 11 years working in Boston, New Haven, New York and San Francisco.